måndag 17 januari 2022

Thai experts: Covid-19 endgame now in sight. Thai Newsroom

Thai experts: Covid-19 endgame now in sight

RAMATHIBODI Hospital's Centre for Medical Genomics said in a Facebook post yesterday (Jan. 16) their specialists are starting to see the light at the end of the tunnel with the endgame of the Covid-19 pandemic now likely to set in and the infection will turn into an endemic disease like the flu, Sanook.com said.

Researchers at this centre tested Covid samples from public and private hospitals during Jan. 3-16, 2022 and found 97.1 percent (69/71) to be Omicron variant and 2.8 percent (2/71) Delta. 

However random samples from prisons showed 100 percent (30/30) Delta strain.

This then means that in Bangkok, excluding the prisons, Omicron would have almost completely replaced Delta.

The "twindemic" of both strains of Covid-19 spreading simultaneously for a short time has now ended and soon Omicron will spread nationwide.

This would be in keeping with what Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and chief medical adviser to US President Joe Biden, said recently that  Omicron will infect "just about everybody" across the US.

After that the number of people who have immunity through vaccination or naturally so through infection will skyrocket with this reducing mortality rate rapidly and this phenomenon can be clearly seen worldwide through data on new Omicron cases and fatalities.

The number of new cases in South Africa has dropped to normal while the death toll was not substantial. There is a large population with naturally acquired infection.

The number of new cases in the UK has continued to decline while the death toll here too was not substantial. Britain uses viral vector vaccines with the booster jab being mRNA.

American experts expect new infections to peak in one to two weeks and likewise the death toll here is not substantial. The US uses mRNA vaccines for both the first two jabs and the booster.

Low infection rates have occurred in countries bordering Thailand as well as Iran where there was a high caseload of natural infection before inactivated virus vaccine jabs were administered followed by mRNA booster jab with very good result.

Thailand has few natural infections with people getting inactivated virus vaccine jabs followed by mRNA booster shot and this also led to a good result as even though the number of new cases has increased, fatalities have dropped.

Should this continue and Covid endgame is reached and it turns into an endemic disease like seasonal flu the fatality rate would be 0.1 percent, the experts said.

Meanwhile the Public Health Ministry said there were 6,929 new coronavirus cases and 13 deaths over the 24 hours to this morning (Jan. 17) with this taking the cumulative confirmed totals since Jan.1, 2022 to 107,979 and since the start of the pandemic 2,331,414.

The 13 additional fatalities raised the death toll to 21,938.

Another 5,255 patients were cured taking total recoveries since Jan. 1, 2022 to 58,772 with 82,210 patients still undergoing treatment.



PHUKET: Frontline health workers in the government and private sectors have started receiving their fourth dose of vaccine against Covid-19, Vachira Phuket Hospital deputy director Withita Jaeng-iam said on Monday. Bangkok Post

Fourth jab for frontline health workers starts in Phuket
People are inoculated at the vaccination centre at Saphan Hin sports centre in Phuket on Monday. (Photo: Achadthaya Chuenniran)

PHUKET: Frontline health workers in the government and private sectors have started receiving their fourth dose of vaccine against Covid-19, Vachira Phuket Hospital deputy director Withita Jaeng-iam said on Monday.

Dr Withita said that medical personnel started geting their fourth jab last week.

On Monday, another 4,000 were to be inoculated at the vaccination centre in the gymnasium building at Saphan Hin. The programme would then be extend to cover people over 60 years of age and those with underlying health conditions.

"From the data base, about 60,000 have registered for a fourth shot. About 10,000 can register on website www.xn--12cmj6ba0a7b3g46fud5d2a.com. Those who have already received three doses can register.

"Vaccination of children aged 5-11 will begin in February. The vaccine for them has not yet arrived," she said.

Based on a target of 547,584, as of Jan 17 a total of 481,762 people in Phuket (87.98%) had received the first dose; 467,676 (85.41%) the second; 293,400 (53.58%) the third; and 7,180 (2.45%) the fourth jab.

On Jan 16, Phuket recorded 522 new infections - 398 from inside Phuket, 102 from the Phuket sandbox scheme and 22 from Test & Go.

Dr Withita said the number of new infections per day ranged from 400-500. Field hospitals were now 40% occupied and hospitels were about 80%. There were about 2,000 patients in home isolation.

She said about 50% of hospital beds reserved for those with serious symptoms were occupied. Some were in intensive care units but not on ventilators, because more people had been vaccinated.

Dr Withita said new clusters of Covid-19 infections continued to be found. They included foreigners who arrived from abroad and people in crowded communities or attending  crowded places like pubs, bars and restaurants.

In general, the Covid-19 situation in Phuket was still manageable. People were still required to observe mask-wearing, hand-washing and social distancing protocols and frequently undergo testing with antigen test kits.


Thailand should stop publicizing Covid numbers by April - Thai Enquirer


Thailand should stop publicizing Covid numbers by April

Thailand must learn to live with the Covid-19 virus and stop publicizing daily pandemic numbers by the end of April to boost public confidence and allow the country to get back to normal, a senior public health expert told Thai Enquirer on Monday.

Thailand recorded 6,929 cases on Monday but just 13 fatalities. On Sunday, the number of deaths, 9, was the lowest recorded in over a year. However, one of those fatalities was from the new Omicron variant of the disease.

"I think there is an understanding among health officials that the new Omicron variant is less deadly and could mean the end of the pandemic for us," said Kanyarat Wanna-anant, a public health expert with Chiang Mai Rajaphat University.

"You have to factor this in with our vaccine numbers which are increasing everyday including the use of boosters to know that the end of the pandemic is in sight."

According to Kanyarat, the economic effects of the pandemic have been much more devastating than the virus itself and the country must do all it can to boost consumer and public confidence.

"The only number that matters is the death toll and it has gone done by a massive amount since last September and will continue to stay low. If it hovers around the single digits then Thailand will see more road deaths per day than Covid-19 deaths," she said.

"That means we have to reevaluate our priorities, continue to be vigilant, keep acquiring the latest technology to fight the virus but also not induce undue panic in the population."

Kanyarat says if the government were to set a target to stop publicizing numbers by April, then it would signal to the country that there is an end date to the public health crisis and that it was not a "forever war."

"Barring another variant that is more deadly, we will see the world emerge out of this shadow by the middle of this year."








The Chonburi Department of Public Health announced 454 new and confirmed cases of Covid-19 today with no new deaths, January 17th, 2022.- The Pattaya News

Chonburi, led by Banglamung with 208, announces 454 new and confirmed cases of Covid-19 and no new deaths

Highlights:

  • 454 new confirmed cases of Covid-19 in Chonburi today

  • 1,339 people recovered and were released from medical care

  • No new deaths

The Chonburi Department of Public Health announced 454 new and confirmed cases of Covid-19 today with no new deaths, January 17th, 2022.

This makes a total of 11,540 cases of Covid-19 in the current round of infections, with 7,329 people still under medical care/supervision, and with a total of 11 recorded deaths in Chonburi since the start of this recent round of infections in the beginning of this year, January, 2022.

Additionally, 1,339 people were also released and recovered yesterday in Chonburi. 4,200 people in total have now been released from medical care and recovered in Chonburi since this current wave of Covid-19 began in the beginning of this year, January, 2022.

In total, 1,927,812 people in Pattaya and Chonburi have received their first dose of a Covid -19 vaccine which is 82.86 percent of the total Chonburi population. Of those, 300,030 have received their first dose and are what the Thai government calls 608 groups (elders, have chronic health problems, and pregnant) which is 81.10 percent of those in these risk groups in Chonburi.

The district-level new cases were as follows today:

Mueang Chonburi 61, Si Racha 108, Banglamung (Pattaya) 208, Panat Nikhom 2, Sattahip 35 (in Navy area 4), Ban Bueng 6, Phan Thong 12, Nong Yai 1, Ko Si Chang 4, and 17 people transferred from other provinces for medical care.

The details on the cases are as follows:

  1. Work and stayed in Rayong, transferred from other provinces for medical care, 10 cases
  2. Active case finding at restaurants that sell alcohol in Pattaya and Banglamung, 15 cases
  3. Risky occupations meeting many people, 16 cases
  4. 5 medical personnel
  5. Back from other provinces

5.1 Ubon Ratchathani, 4 cases

5.2 Bangkok, 3 cases

5.3 Chiang Mai, 1 cases

5.4 Nonthaburi, 1 cases

5.5 Pathum Thani, 1 cases

5.6 Ayutthaya, 1 cases

6. Close contacts from previously confirmed cases in families – 120 cases, in workplaces – 92 cases, close personal contacts – 20 cases, and joined a party – 9 cases

7. Close contacts of a confirmed patient (under investigation), 17 cases

8. 139 cases close contacts of a confirmed patient (under investigation)



Airlines eye revival of Test & Go scheme. The Airlines Association of Thailand (AAT) hopes the government resumes the Test & Go scheme as soon as possible to support a tourism recovery. Puttipong Prasarttong-Osoth, president of the AAT and Bangkok Airways, said the Test & Go scheme proved to be highly effective in luring back international arrivals. Airlines would like to see the scheme restarted, he said. Bangkok Post

Airlines eye revival of Test & Go scheme
Aircraft of AirAsia, Nok Air and Thai Lion Air at Don Mueang airport. (Photo by Pattarapong Chatpattarasill)
Aircraft of AirAsia, Nok Air and Thai Lion Air at Don Mueang airport. (Photo by Pattarapong Chatpattarasill)

The Airlines Association of Thailand (AAT) hopes the government resumes the Test & Go scheme as soon as possible to support a tourism recovery.

Puttipong Prasarttong-Osoth, president of the AAT and Bangkok Airways, said the Test & Go scheme proved to be highly effective in luring back international arrivals. Airlines would like to see the scheme restarted, he said.

The scheme's suspension has affected the flow of tourists as they have to choose between sandbox areas in Phuket, Krabi, Phangnga and Koh Samui, or opt for quarantine entry via Bangkok.

Mr Puttipong said the country's reopening certainly comes with risks, but the government has to make a risk assessment, such as resuming Test & Go based on the number of Covid cases and the severity of an outbreak.

He said if the fast-spreading Omicron variant can be treated similar to the seasonal flu because of its weak impact on vaccinated people and lower fatality rate, it may reduce fear and encourage people to fly.

Airlines already use several health and safety procedures, said Mr Puttipong.

"If Omicron is not deadly, domestic flights will rebound shortly, but this is not adequate to support the industry," he said. "Thai tourism needs the international market to reach full capacity."

Airlines registered strong domestic demand last December before the emergence of Omicron dented travel sentiment after the New Year holiday, said Mr Puttipong. However, there were very few cancellations compared with previous waves of infections, he said.

Regarding the 300-baht tourism fee that is expected to be included in airfares, Mr Puttipong said further discussion is needed with state agencies because aspects of the fee collection process need to be clarified.

As the aviation payment system cannot support add-ons, the government needs to increase manpower to manually verify the payment by foreign travellers, he said.

After talks with the Tourism and Sports Ministry, the time frame for fee collection is scheduled for April 1, but all parties need to be flexible and open to other options, said Mr Puttipong.

Aswin Yangkirativorn, Thai Lion Air (TLA) chief executive, said the aviation outlook for the first half remains dim because of uncertainties caused by the outbreak, particularly the suspension of Test & Go. TLA has no plans to resume international flights, said Mr Aswin.

He said the government should support domestic tourism with short-term stimulus measures, such as the "We Travel Together" hotel subsidy scheme, to revive sentiment.






🔴 #COVID19 update on Monday: ⬇️ 6,929 new cases (209 from abroad) ⬆️ 13 deaths ⬆️ 82,210 in care. Richard Barrow


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