lördag 26 februari 2022

Invasion! Eyes towards Europe as people in Thailand ponder the consequences. Many people in Thailand - especially Thais themselves - are largely oblivious to events outside their borders, outside Asia, complacently assuming that it won’t affect them. This conflict - the extent of which remains to be seen - will test that indifference, test that casual complacency. ASEAN NOW


 
Most eyes in Thailand looked west this week as the much anticipated invasion of Ukraine by Putin's Russia began on Thursday. 

 

Many people in Thailand - especially Thais themselves - are largely oblivious to events outside their borders, outside Asia, complacently assuming that it won't affect them.

 

This conflict - the extent of which remains to be seen - will test that indifference, test that casual complacency. 

 

Rooster does not have the answers. If I'm honest I didn't think it would come to this. I thought it was all political brinkmanship and Putin would back down after scoring some diplomatic victories. 

 

Shows what I know. It now appears he doesn't give a monkey's about the West's sanctions.

 

The comparisons to WW2 are concerning. How many believed in the late 1930s that Hitler would not attack, how a spurious claim that Germany responded to insurgents as a pretext for invasion in Poland. 

 

We all know how that turned out.

 

What Putin is up to after years of rhetoric about NATO expansion will hopefully become clearer in the next days and weeks without too much bloodshed. 

 

Certainly the warnings of western politicians have proved to be on the money. 

 

Thais will probably react more with the continuing rise in fuel prices, extra effects on tourism after the pandemic, travel restrictions, a rise in gold prices, that sort of financial thing.

 

Few could pick Ukraine out on a map, even if they could locate Europe!

 

Here in Thailand in the last seven days it all seemed mundane in comparison. As I begin a week's ASEAN NOW holiday with my grown up children who arrived from the UK last weekend, here is a list of what I found noteworthy last week:

 

Thursday saw a record number of daily Covid cases smashing previous 2021 records. When PCR tests confirmed ATK tests the figure was expected to be 45,000+.

 

Anybody remember back in 2020 when ONE case in Rayong shut down the whole province?

 

Deaths are increasing but still low - we have to get used to this menace, follow the advice and trust - a poor word - that the government in Thailand will believe their own rhetoric and learn to live with the virus. 

 

Let's face it, we're all fed up with the restrictions and parents are still going stir crazy with young children off school for the best part of two years! Madness.

 

And who knows, or even cares, what ramping up the threat to Level 4 even means. I'm losing the will to live.

 

Health minister Anutin - an ASEAN NOW staple if ever there was one - said that Thailand could cope no matter what. Dr Yong predicted 100,000 cases daily, at least. 

 

Blah, blah effing blah!

 

The road carnage continued - and some - with the site focusing many column inches on the appalling death and destruction. 

 

In Pattaya an expat cyclist died after being hit by a pick-up. 

 

You particularly take your life into your hands as a cyclist on the roads. 

 

Back in 2007 a doctor told me I was getting seriously overweight. I went from the surgery to Lotus and bought a bike and cycled 25 kms to and from school for months until the weight dropped off. But I figured that if I continued much more I'd be killed - not by obesity but collision.

 

I continued eating much less to keep the weight off. 

 

Other accidents showed the Thai propensity for grisly pictures of blood and bodies on the roads. I'm in favor of this - anything to warn people of what really happens when flesh hits metal or tarmac.

 

Why sanitize the issue?

 

One of the most read stories of the week had posed a question as to why so many foreigners fall off balconies in Thailand. 

 

Yes, some balconies are absurdly low for many tall westerners; I remember how on school trips we used to ban older teens from going on them at all.

 

But many foreigners come to Thailand - either as retirees or lovelorn - convinced that the problems they left behind will magically disappear.

 

Nonsense. Your troubles follow you around and I genuinely believe that most balcony fallers were not pushed but jumped - a result of severe mental health issues looking for a quick, free and instant way out. 

 

On holidays in the UK I have often been to Beach Head to ruminate on why people go there to end it all. Americans speak of the Golden Gate Bridge.

 

Thailand has its balconies, sadly. I would urge anyone who knows someone with mental health issues to reach out to them. It happened in my family and I'm glad I did.

 

In tourism news billionaire Pipat said he was determined to press on with the so-called 300 baht tourist charge. He wants the money to pay for foreigners who need medical treatment and to improve tourism infrastructure. 

 

Why does Thailand always have to complicate everything? (to justify jobs I hear you say). If they just said the money was a visa on arrival barely anyone would bat an eyelid. 

 

They continue to make a rod for their own backs. 

 

The Soi Dog Foundation were bigging up their efforts to mark "World Spay Day" on Tuesday.

 

Can't we have World Kill a Soi Dog Day, please, that'll work for me and thousands of others threatened by these mangy mutts all over Thailand. 

 

Monks Behaving Badly continued like it was the title of a British sitcom!

 

Hilarious pictures of some of the saffron brigade in Pathum Thani holed up in a collection of "booze tents" were followed by the discovery of seven bogus monks in Rayong begging for money after being revealed eating "gai yang khao niaw" (chicken with sticky rice).

 

Thai reporters went to a filthy beach after a woman found medicine bottles and syringes. What washes up on the shore in Thailand beggars belief.

 

Years ago a teenage boy at my school hanged himself from the back of his bedroom door. 

 

It was a tragic case of pressure from school work. Thai Rath shocked our community by claiming it was because the boy thought he'd caught AIDS from a needle on the beach during an international school trip.

 

Rooster - as trip coordinator - had to write a huge report to debunk that complete nonsense. 

 

A reminder of the utter twaddle sometimes in the news in Thailand.

 

In Pattaya - again - a foreigner barricaded himself in a massage shop's toilets after what was called a "major public disturbance" of an "erratic and unhinged" man. 

 

Some suggested it was an ASEAN NOW poster having some time off the keyboard.

 

In police news it was announced 36 cops had either been sacked or dismissed since the start of the year. Apparently there's a difference.

 

The RTP spokesman asked us to believe that this was evidence of PM Prayuth Chan-ocha - as head of the Police Commission - continuing his drive to rid the country of corruption. 

 

Ask any Thai and they will tell you that the first 8 years of "Uncle Too's" 20 year anti-corruption crusade has been a total, unmitigated failure. 

 

Bent officials are everywhere, not just in the RTP. Schools, hospitals, local and central government officialdom…politicians, of course.

 

And the Thai people continue to connive in it by taking part and not standing up to it en masse. We're all guilty to some degree.

 

As I mentioned earlier my grown up children arrived after a three year pandemic hiccup. They were impressed by the arrangements for their 1st and 5th day quarantine but there was a lot of stress that the tests might be positive. All was well.

 

Please end all this nonsense, insist that tourists are vaccinated and do ATK tests at the airport - surely that's enough to help get the tourist industry back on track and stop scaring potential visitors. 

 

Finally the week started with Rooster spluttering his coffee all over the translation keyboard.

 

A woman in Phuket was offering a 10,000 baht reward for the return of her silkie chicken. 

 

Wisely perhaps, my new editor rejected my headline that referred to the lady's need to be reunited with her prized cock.

 

In a troubled world us wannabe journos need to have our childish fun.

 

Rooster


Thailand at 'Crossroads' as COVID-19 Surges Amid Tourism, Economy Rebound. Thailand’s economy has seen growth in its recovery amid the global pandemic, but rising COVID-19 cases concern health experts. Voice of America News

Thailand at 'Crossroads' as COVID-19 Surges Amid Tourism, Economy Rebound

FILE - Thai traditional dancers wearing face masks to help protect themselves from the coronavirus perform at the Erawan Shrine in Bangkok, Thailand, Feb. 7, 2022. 

Thailand's economy has seen growth in its recovery amid the global pandemic, but rising COVID-19 cases concern health experts.

Heavily reliant on international tourism to boost its economy, Thailand dropped its quarantine requirement for fully vaccinated visitors in November, with thousands of arrivals flocking to the country since.

But along with the renewal of tourism in Thailand, new COVID-19 infections have also begun to accelerate throughout the country.

Dr. Anan Jongkaewwattana, a virologist and researcher at the National Centre for Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology in Thailand, has said the country is at a "crossroads" over what to do next.

"We are experiencing rising in omicron cases -- a very rapid one. The question should be how long we can expect it to slow down … it can be days or weeks or even months," he told VOA.

"In my opinion, we are at the crossroads at the moment. The number of cases are rising but, to many doctors, the majority of them are still considered mild when compared to the delta wave," he added.

Data show that the omicron variant is highly transmissible, has an incubation period of about five days and causes less severe symptoms than earlier variants.

Thailand saw a new daily record high on Friday, with 24,932 cases.

Last year saw strict curfews and social restrictions enforced throughout the country for months. However, after a speedy vaccination rollout – sometimes reaching one million doses administered per day – measures were eventually relaxed toward the end of the year.

A medical worker provides a COVID-19 testing kit to patients at the Thonburi Bamrungmaung Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand, Feb 24. 2022. (Tommy Walker / VOA)
A medical worker provides a COVID-19 testing kit to patients at the Thonburi Bamrungmaung Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand, Feb 24. 2022. (Tommy Walker / VOA)

Officials said on Monday that the economy rebounded in the fourth quarter of 2021, with rising exports and the return of tourists. Year on year, Thailand saw a 1.9% increase in its economy, aided by the late wave of tourism. Nearly 500,000 people have visited since November.

With rapidly rising infection in the country, though, foreign tourists may think twice about entering, according to Stuart McDonald, founder of travel guide Travelfish.org.

"Should that be concerning for tourists? I would say yes. It is a rapidly changing situation and the Thai administration has a history of chopping and changing rules in an ad hoc, short notice, manner, and not always in a manner clearly informed by concerns for public health," McDonald told VOA.

Thai authorities have changed entry requirements for tourists several times in recent months, including pausing its Test & Go plan in December following a rise in omicron cases.

The Thai government made further changes Wednesday to the plan, allowing fully vaccinated visitors to skip the quarantine period that is required by unvaccinated air arrivals.

As of March 1, fully vaccinated arrivals are now only required to take one PCR test instead of two when entering the country. Travelers must then wait for their results for up to 24 hours in a health-approved hotel before being allowed to travel elsewhere. Visitors must also take a self-administered rapid antigen test on the fifth day.

Tourism is crucial to the Thai economy. In 2019, tourism accounted for approximately 11% of Thailand's gross domestic product, and around 20% of Thais were employed in tourism, according to the Bank of Thailand.

Tourism businesses had previously asked the government to relax entry restrictions.

Authorities have recently ruled out any imminent new restrictions, including lockdown, despite recently raising the country's COVID-19 alert to Level 4, the second-highest level. Masks are still required in public, while people are encouraged to work from home, cancel nonessential travel and avoid large gatherings.

Thailand now must focus on a plan to live with the virus, according to Pravit Rojanaphruk of Thai news site Khaosod English.

"The government can ill afford to impose another semi-lockdown as it has spent a lot of money over the past two years to remedy and contain COVID-19. It is hesitant because further restrictions would adversely affect the latest Test & Go scheme for arrivals from abroad and further harm the tourism and related industries.

"Increasing vaccination is the way ahead as the government has enough vaccines now for a booster shot. Children will be a particular target group in the weeks ahead but some parents are still reluctant. It's time to focus on normalising coexistence with COVID-19," he told VOA.

Last month health officials began vaccinating 5- to 11-year-olds. According to Thailand's Ministry of Public Health, this age group includes 5 million children in Thailand.

But Jongkaewwattana raised his concerns still, "I'm quite worried in the increasing number of children who are infected and getting sick. Those kids are not vaccinated and they are more likely afflicted by the Omicron infection compared to the fully vaccinated adults."

The head of Bangkok's Chulalongkorn University's Centre of Excellence in Clinical Virology, Dr Yong Poovorawan, warned that Thailand could soon see 100,000 people test positive per day.

Jongkaewwattana believes more can be done to mitigate the risks of infection.

"I believe in the use of technology to help the vaccine to slow down the spread of the virus. I suggest the government provide test kits to people so that they can monitor their risk. The use of masks in public must be emphasized and the activities that promote virus spreading should be prohibited."

An increase in the daily death rate could force the government into further action, he said. Thursday and Friday also saw 38 and 41 COVID-19 deaths respectively.

"The death case is now slowly rising and if the number reaches 50 or more the government may start something to bring the number down. If the number of COVID patients in the hospitals nationwide are at a certain limit, they will implement some restrictions. But I don't see a complete lock down or curfews coming very soon."

Thailand's health authorities have administered approximately 122 million doses, including first, second and booster doses. The country has recorded nearly 2.8 million COVID-19 cases with nearly 23,000 deaths since the pandemic began.



🔴 #COVID19 update on Saturday ⏫ 25,615 new cases ⬇️ 40 deaths ⬆️ 201,044 in care. Richard Barrow